FTSE Trading Report - 31 December 2012

Stock markets are marked down this morning with still no decision on the Fiscal Cliff.  The US has until the end of the day for an agreement. With the Christmas feel good factor now coming to an end the outcome of this decision will open up our next trading opportunities. Expect volatility which will be exacerbated by low volume as the news filters through.

Technically the FTSE is negative today if the market cannot recover above 5917 and targets [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 28 December 2012

Following on from yesterday's report the FTSE has rallied towards our medium term target at 6000 after holding key support at 5940. Yesterday's low was 5942. I don't expect to much action today and we could well consolidate and trade the over night range (5960 - 5980) for the 1st hour of trade [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 27 December 2012

Good morning

I hope you all had a pleasant Christmas.

Whilst the FTSE trades above 5880 we can expect a slow rise up towards 6000 as the last few days of a trading year are usually bullish and sentiment is positive. The market believes the fiscal cliff situation will be resolved 

FTSE Trading Report - 21 December 2012

The FTSE has hit our key level (5921) at the open of the futures market (7am). My analysis from the past 2 days stands. 5921 was a high probability target and now its a case of wait and see before we take a view on how we want to trade.  I want triple witching out the way (today) and the fiscal cliff deal concluded [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 20 December 2012

Good morning

There is no real change to my report from yesterday and the reference to the 5970-6000 range and targets at 5921 and 5810.   

We have seen a negative reaction already in the 5970-6000. Has the rally ended at 5977?  It all depends on the reaction when 5921 is eventually hit [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 19 December 2012

The FTSE is nearing the end of a rally (5970-6000) and from this stage I am looking for sell signals.  I don't like picking tops when there is key news floating around (Fiscal Cliff) as we cannot rule out a final push once an agreement is completed [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 18 December 2012

The FTSE gave a negative signal yesterday with a move below 5900.  The move through 5900 yesterday indicates the market will struggle to trade above 6000 going forward [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 17 December 2012

We are entering thin trading for the Christmas period this week.   Usually we see the market creep higher during this period on thin volume but we have seen a 350 point rise in 4 weeks so any strong rallies above 5950 are unlikely to be unsustainable going forward. Likewise the bulls will continue to buy the dips whilst we trade above 5890 [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 14 December 2012

If buyers are running out then a market will correct regardless of Christmas rally expectations. I am therefore not comfortable buying at these levels even though higher prices are likely and would prefer to position short when I see a clear signal.

Next week we could see some trending moves come into the market on low volume [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 13 December 2012

The trend remains up after 5916 held yesterday. A very low risk buying opportunity for those who used this level [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 12 December 2012

The FTSE has managed to trade just below my medium term forecast target at 5940, albeit on very low volume. Recent volume if low even for December standards. Last year the average weekly volume was averaging  887,892,000. At present its just 588,544,800. Its an indication the smart money is not participating in this rally [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 11 December 2012

The FTSE is set to open around the key level at 5916.  If we hold above this level early on we can expect a small rally towards 5940. The trend is still up but we do have layers of resistance between 5930-5940 [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 7 December 2012

We have non farm payrolls today at 1.30pm. Expect volatility at this time. The pattern suggests a move to 6000 but the price action is not supporting this [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 6 December 2012

The FTSE is drifting between the key levels mentioned on my report yesterday.  5864 and 5916. During the day session we traded towards the magnet at #### (clients only) and during the evening session the FTSE tested 5916. We still have no confirmation on the next move although if the FTSE does see a full 10 minute bar close [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 5 December 2012

We have 3 indecisive candle sticks on our daily charts to contend with today (FTSE Daily charts).  The price is not giving any clear signals however this will most likely change today which is the good news.

As you are aware we have a weekly magnetic target  and we have been focusing on sell trades for the beginning of this week [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 4 December 2012

An open below yesterdays low (5859) for the FTSE will be bearish today and support further selling towards our weekly magnetic target #### (clients only). Likewise an open above 5859 and the market subsequently trading above 5864 after the first hour of trade will support another rally. The dividend is 1.9 today [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 30 November 2012

Its the last trading day of the month and its also a Friday which often attracts profit takers.  Given the strong close yesterday at 5870 I don't expect fireworks but more of a consolidation session between 5785 – 5745 [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 29 November 2012

The FTSE's main session yesterday was very negative after trading below 5792 for the first hour of trade. This eventually led to a break below 5770 on high volume. A strong negative signal however the unexpected political statement regarding the fiscal cliff led to a sharp rally in the US which has dragged the FTSE back above 5800.  The pattern still looks corrective [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 28 November 2012

The Greek news failed to deliver sustained buying action yesterday and the market sold off after a very brief price spike to the upside. The news was already priced in as we expected.  A break below 5770 whilst we avoid trading above 5830 will lead to more selling [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 27 November 2012

The Greek deal was agreed after hours yesterday and FTSE futures are marked higher as a result. The question is how much of the deal is priced in. Its likely a fair bit so even if we did rally this morning I would expect this to fail in the 5830-5850 range.  The open could be volatile as the big funds adjust some of their positions which were linked in the deal [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 26 November 2012

The FTSE was dragged up by the US markets last week on low volume. The FTSE price action is bullish above 5780 but we could easily see this market pull back early this week. The US markets need to digest the large move from last week before heading higher  - if they are going to head higher..... If the rally continues from here it would start to look like a bear market rally [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 23 November 2012

The FTSE edged towards 5800 yesterday on very low volume which was on the cards if we broke above resistance at 5780.  In terms of today's action we have had a bullish week so its unlikely we will see a big sell off today. Instead we can expect another consolidation day [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 22 November 2012

The FTSE is making higher highs and has closing UP for three days which although is bullish the price action is not supportive.  Yesterday we broke above the October 26th low at 5753 with no volume backed behind it.  The US is shut today for thanksgiving so this afternoon could be quiet [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 21 November 2012

The FTSE has lots of sell pressure just under 5720. We have a dividend of just over 6 points to come off the FTSE which could cause some early selling for the FTSE.  Officially its a mixed bag today [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 20 November 2012

After a big rally yesterday the FTSE is likely to consolidate for the morning session.  The index now has support between 5700-5710 and resistance at 5740.   We have a closing gap just below resistance. We also have a large dividend today standing at 6.95. If we see 10 points higher from the 8am open price today we can expect some buying in the last hour of trade [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 19 November 2012

The FTSE is in a clear downtrend at present and we have lots of selling pressure at 5700-5710 which is where a layer of stops was previously present for traders who were long in the market. More selling can be expected towards 5580-5500 in the medium term. In the very short term we have thanks giving week in the USA and this often attract buyers.  The FTSE also closed on its lows on Friday which although is very bearish it also indicates everyone is already short in this market [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 16 November 2012

We also have expiry today between 10:10 am - 10:20am. Expect volatility around this time [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 15 November 2012

The FTSE closed below the MA 200 last night which is bearish. We can expect more selling towards 5650 and below in the short term [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 14 November 2012

The FTSE low yesterday was 5711 which prevented more selling as this is strong support and major in terms of preventing rapid selling.  After seeing a negative Friday followed by a negative Monday the trend is still down so I expect rallies to be sold this week [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 13 November 2012

The FTSE was unable to move above 5792 after I sent my update yesterday so some very low risk sell opportunities there for active traders.  This morning we have a magnet at #### (clients only) and we also have a very large dividend on the FTSE at 10.7 [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 12 November 2012

The FTSE fell below the MA 200 on Friday and the buy in just below (5715) was from the big funds (I will be sending a trading tip on this shortly) who like to buy just below the MA 200 on pull back's in the market. They also don't want to miss the anticipated Christmas rally [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 9 November 2012

The FTSE is currently trading between support at 5770-5780. The price action is key today. If the FTSE rallies off the open with out dropping below 5770 then we could see buyers step in if the index then trades above 5800 and holds this level [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 8 November 2012

We had a big negative outside day on the FTSE yesterday so its likely the lows at 5790 will be revisited either today or tomorrow [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 7 November 2012

The FTSE has resistance this morning at 5918. If the index sells off initially (down to 5882) and then recovers above this level then this is bullish short term [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 6 November 2012

The FTSE is trading just under its trusted resistance level today at 5860. I do not expect a sustainable rally to form before the actual election results tonight. If investors are wanting to buy this market they will most likely wait for the news to come out.

The dividend is 5.6 today [Read the full report]

FTSE Trading Report - 5 November 2012

We had an inside trading week last week which is when the FTSE trades within the cash range of the previous week. This indicated we will see a strong break out this week between the current support at 5783 and current resistance at 5918. Such a move would tie in with the presidential election.

FTSE Trading Report - 2 November 2012

The quick dip below 5780 followed by a quick recovery above this level yesterday proved to be a very low risk/high reward trade and highlights the importance of being patient for solid low risk/high reward trades. These trades can make a big difference to your wealth. As a trader one of the best skills to conquer is patience and its something we discussed in great detail at our seminars over the last few days.

We have non farm payrolls today and its likely traders were buying anticipated good news from the employment figures at 12.30pm today.

FTSE Trading Report - 1 November 2012

The FTSE closed last night just above support at 5780.  The question is will we get a bounce from here before we fall towards 5700. Well its the first of a new trading month and these are generally bullish days with funds committing cash monies.

FTSE Trading Report - 31 October 2012

The FTSE has rallied up towards 5860 as per our analysis and we have duly fallen away....for now. The US has been shut for 2 days so its difficult to call where this afternoon's action will take us.

FTSE Trading Report - 30 October 2012

Hurricane Sandy will keep American markets shut again today so the FTSE will most likely have another quiet session.  The US markets are due to open tomorrow. In terms of trading opportunities the second half of this week could be generous as volatility increases:

FTSE Trading Report - 26 October 2012

Big gaps down on the FTSE today and if we open below 5788 today it suggests more selling today towards 5710.

FTSE Trading Report - 25 October 2012

Yesterday we had a consolidation day which was on the cards.  I avoid the 5 min bar system on these days as the market is likely to be choppy early on. If you are attending my seminar next week in London I will be covering ''advanced selection'' for the best days and the worst days to use this entry system.

FTSE Trading Report - 23 October 2012

The FTSE stays positive above 5870 and this served as a very good level yesterday for any buy opportunities.  Whilst above 5870 the FTSE stays positive and targets 5950 (key resistance).

FTSE Trading Report - 22 October 2012

Its the Monday following expiry so the action during the first hour of trade usually gives a good idea of how the week is going to play out. 

FTSE Trading Report - 19 October 2012

We have expiry today which will take place between 10.10am  - 10.20am.  Its common to see choppy price action before this event

FTSE Trading Report - 17 October 2012

The FTSE is positive in the short term and higher prices towards 5900 can be expected.

FTSE Trading Report - 16 October 2012

The FTSE held 5793 in yesterdays afternoon session so the index stays positive for now. The dividend is 1.1 today.

FTSE Trading Report - 15 October 2012

We are now in the third week of October and although the market is weak we have not seen a decent sell off yet.  I would expect this to start this week if we are going to see this.  Although I do not see price action sustainable above 5900 for October we could easily see a strong rally develop around the US election period (beginning of November). 

FTSE Trading Report - 12 October 2012

Yesterday's price action at the open signaled the short term trend is still up. As mentioned on yesterday's report if we had not seen buyers come in at the 8am open straight away after the 3 down day pattern then it would signal a bearish change.

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FTSE Trading Report - 10 October 2012

The FTSE has mixed signals this morning. We had an outside day yesterday which means the FTSE made a new high in the market which failed (when compared to the previous day) and we closed on the days lows. This is negative. If the FTSE fails to gain ground above its previous close today at 5810 we could see this decline extend towards 5720

FTSE Trading Report - 9 October 2012

5860 is a key level this morning.  If the FTSE falls back towards 5850-5845 at the open and then recovers above 5860 then higher prices are likely. If the FTSE fails at 5860 at the open and drops below 5841 then lower price towards 5811 are indicated today.

FTSE Trading Report - 8 October 2012

The FTSE failed between 5875-5885 on Friday after the good employment numbers which is the level we discussed and its a sign the index will struggle to maintain price action above 5900 going forward.

FTSE Trading Report - 5 October 2012

Its Non farm pay rolls day and as a result we may see consolidation for the morning session as traders avoid taking large positions before the news.

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FTSE Trading Report - 4 October 2012

Neutral today with Non Farm Payrolls tomorrow.  If the NFP figure is bad we could see the market retrace towards 5700.

FTSE Trading Report - 3 October 2012

My analysis remains the same as yesterday regarding the 5750 - 5860 range. Please refer back to yesterday's report.  If non farm payrolls is bad on Friday then the FTSE is going to struggle to get above 5900 for some time.

FTSE Trading Report - 2 October 2012

An impressive 1st of the month rally yesterday will have many traders caught on the short side below 5750. This means if we are going to see another  wave of selling it will most likely happen towards the end of the week when traders give up and close positions.   Up side may also be limited as traders are waiting for Non Farm Payrolls on Friday.

FTSE Trading Report - 1 October 2012

Good morning, we had a negative outside day on Friday which is when the market makes a new high and new low when compared to the previous trading day and closes lower. This is a bearish signal.  If the FTSE cannot gain ground above 5740 straight after the open then more selling towards 5700 can be expected today.

FTSE Trading Report - 28 September 2012

All focus on 5800 this morning. If we open above this level we could easily see a quick push higher towards 5826 just after the open. If however we open and drop straight below 5800 and stay below then we could easily see a large decline start today and towards 5720. 

FTSE Trading Report - 27 September 2012

A decent break of 5800 yesterday means we could well have a top in this market at 5932. If we do it would be very fitting. i.e all the retail market have bought stocks near the top of the market on the QE3 news.... 

FTSE Trading Report - 26 September 2012

The FTSE avoided trading above 5870 yesterday and we have duly seen the decline towards 5800.  We also saw a decent buy in for the last hour of trade yesterday for the dividend which we were expecting.

FTSE Trading Report - 25 September 2012

Another close below for 5860 is bearish for the FTSE so unless we see a quick recovery above 5870 today, the FTSE has a target at 5800.   If we see acceptance below 5800 (3 thirty minute candle bars) then its likely we have seen a short term top at 5932.

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FTSE Trading Report - 24 September 2012

The FTSE closed the week below 5860 on Friday which was a negative and we are back trading to pre QE3 price levels. The market was trading around 5820 before the QE3 announcement and we duly revisited this area last week which is quite normal as markets like to retest key break out levels however there is no reason for the market to be trading back at these levels for a second time.


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FTSE Trading Report - 21 September 2012

Today we have triple witching between 10.10am and 10.20am. Expect volatility between this time.

FTSE Trading Report - 20 September 2012

The FTSE held our key level at 5860 yesterday with 2 decent buy ins just above this level. This morning we are trading at this level once again. Tomorrow we have expiry and Thursdays before triple witching can be dangerous days to trade.


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FTSE Trading Report - 19 September 2012

Unless we see a clear break back below 5860 today (a full ten minute candle bar closing below this level) then higher prices towards 5960 are likely in short term.  

FTSE Trading Report - 18 September 2012

We have now seen 5866 which was a high probability target for the early part of the week and we have another target at 5820 for the rest of the week but this may take longer to reach i.e we could rally above 5900 again before this is reached.

FTSE Trading Report - 17 September 2012

Its mid month today so we could see funds commit new monies just after the open.  If we see higher prices above 5900 today / tomorrow I expect sellers to come into the market

FTSE Trading Report - 14 September 2012

QE3 was announced last night at the end of the FOMC meeting and we have duly rallied.  Can the market go higher? Well first of all we should never presume a market can not keep going on up after important new like this. It all depends on how much is priced into the market already.  So we will let price action give us clues.

FTSE Trading Report - 13 September 2012

We have had 3 quiet days in a row so the chances of a large move developing is increasing.  Today we have the FOMC meeting at 5.30pm in the US.  We could see traders positioning ahead of this statement.

FTSE Trading Report - 12 September 2012

The FTSE tested the key level at 5765 yesterday which was was a high probability target we had discussed.  The bounce upwards at this level is bullish and traders should be cautious shorting above this area.

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FTSE Trading Report - 11 September 2012

The FTSE has retested 5765 out of hours but not during hours just yet. This was a high probability level we discussed last week i.e the markets like to retest key break out levels where strong support/resistance lies.

FTSE Trading Report - 10 September 2012

We had a positive out side week last week which means we made a new low and new high when compared to the previous week and closed above the highs. This is a positive signal and keeps the FTSE trend positive.

FTSE Trading Report - 7 September 2012

Price action above the 5700 level was a positive yesterday.  We should see the FTSE hit 5800 during cash hours either today or early next week.

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FTSE Trading Report - 6 September 2012

We have 2 days full of key news ahead of us. Today we have the ECB meeting at 12.45pm and tomorrow we have non farm payrolls at 1.30pm. Both could be market movers so be aware of this. Usually I will sell some tunnels at 95 or above on days like this in case we get a strong market move from a statement.

FTSE Trading Report - 5 September 2012

An end day close below 5690 was a negative for the FTSE yesterday and the short term technicals are now negative. Today we have the MA 200 standing at 5654 and providing support (daily cash charts). It is from this area the majority of fund managers buy a bull market on pull backs. Therefore we will gain a good idea on whether the larger players currently see value in this market.

FTSE Trading Report - 4 September 2012

America was closed yesterday and with their markets opening on the first trading day of a new month we could well see a large buy in for them later on. This would push the FTSE up this afternoon.  The FTSE also has a 6.7 dividend today which will also have a bullish effect later on.

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FTSE Trading Report - 3 September 2012

This morning we have strong support at 5690 for the FTSE which should provide a positive reaction however if the FTSE opens at 8am and we see more than 5 mins of price action below 5700 then this is a negative for the start of the week and sellers could easily push the market lower this morning.

FTSE Trading Report - 31 August 2012

We have the Jackson hole Fed meeting this afternoon commencing at 3pm so we could well see volatility come into the market when Ben Bernanke starts talking.  If we are trading near parity (5719) just before the US markets open then the tunnel strategy can be looked at. At this time of day there will be some attractive prices if the market if trading flat.

FTSE Trading Report - 30 August 2012

The failure to fill the closing gap yesterday at #### (CLIENTS ONLY) and a break down through 5748 was a negative signal for the FTSE and one we discussed on yesterday's report.

FTSE Trading Report - 29 August 2012

We now have 3 Doji candlesticks in a row on the daily chart which reflects clear indecision in the market. I expect better signals and price action from next week onwards when the larger traders return to their desks.

FTSE Trading Report - 28 August 2012

The FTSE will open this morning after 3 days shut so expect higher than usual volatility as pending orders are triggered in the market.  We should see the 1st 5 minute bar length traded today.

FTSE Trading Report - 24 August 2012

As its a Friday we could well consolidate today.  The FTSE held our key trend figure of 5762 yesterday by a few pips

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FTSE Trading Report - 23 August 2012

The FTSE has traded down towards our target. At this stage if we see another end of day close below 5820 then profit taking could extend towards #### (CLIENTS ONLY) .  If we close above 5820 today then another push towards #### (CLIENTS ONLY) is likely before we drop again. 

FTSE Trading Report - 22 August 2012

If the FTSE opens below 5833 today that is a negative signal and a subsequent move below 5820 would indicate 5876 is a short term top in this market with 5750 as an initial target.  

FTSE Trading Report - 21 August 2012

Flat markets remain this morning but what I will point out is that markets have far more patience than people so once people give up on their view the market will move.  Rather than wait for the move we will continue to use low risk entry methods to capitalise on a large move which will soon break out. 

FTSE Trading Report - 20 August 2012

The FTSE looks set to open in very familiar territory.  As per last week if we see the the FTSE holds above 5850 during the first 5 minutes of action then higher prices can be expected. A fall below 5850 which stays below this level just after the open will signal a down day.

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This has nothing to do with some flashy indicator. Indicators are just price interpreted in a different manner and the basis of most ''get rich quick schemes'' exploited by marketeers. My background is from the institutional banking world and it is from this environment that I have acquired most of my trading knowledge as well as from other professional traders. My approach to trading is linked to market internals and is the prime reason why I am able to achieve such a good success rate. The 2.5 year track record for my service reflects this and is merely the logical result of applying consistently winning techniques over time. Looking at my service trades for 2012, so far there have been 58 trades of which 41 have been winning trades and just 17 losing trading (plus 3 break even trades). That's a 70% win rate. And this is with an average stop of just 15 points. 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When I wrote to you at the start of this year I said I expected 2012 to be a year of great opportunity and that is exactly how it has been for me and those traders who understand what I do. Now is your chance to join this elite group. I am now opening the doors to 50 new traders to access this valuable information on a special dvd pack to learn from home. So what value do I put on this information? Well, firstly I don't think you can place a value on useful information. The fact is, knowledge is power, what ever industry you are in but for just 2 x payments of GBP 299 you can enter my world of successful trading. Two good trades could easily cover this cost. Click here to sign up: https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=2TYXBMZXNHL8L PLUS AS AN ADDED BONUS - Not only does the DVD cover how to trade the gap for a living which is extremely valuable on its own , the dvd also includes my top systems including the magnet strategy and the FTSE personality guide. Purchasers will also receive a free ticket to my live seminar in October, to be held at Wotton House in Surrey. I like to keep numbers small for these events to keep the experience personal so act fast if you want to reserve your space. I am only opening this offer up to 50 traders. I am also offering an additional 10% discount to subscribers for the next 48 hours! Click here to sign up: https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=2TYXBMZXNHL8L READ MY CLIENT TESTIMONIALS BELOW: Hi Mark I really big thank you for such a professional and informing couple of days of presentations. Your presentation style and skill is first class. You covered so many areas where I clearly had "gaps"! I look forward to moving on in a more informed and better manner over the next few months. Have a smooth flight back the beloved country David --------------------- Once again thank you for a fantastic seminar on Friday and i started putting some of what i learned from your seminar to good use this morning and was able to reach my target so a great start which helps confidence without being over confident. Once again thank you very much. Kind Regards: Jeff ------------------------------ Good morning I just wanted to say a big thank you for another set of excellent seminars !!! I am now beginning to make consistent profits ( av 5.5 % per month over last 15 months - my wife even more in her systems) but you cannot stop learning and fine tuning ones strategies . I have taken away a number of things with me which I will start investigating further and eventually incorporate in my trading DNA Thank you again and i look forward to future seminars Have safe journies home and take care Azher --------------------------- Hi Mark would just like to say thank you. I was not very successfull until i came to your seminar in April now things seem to be dropping into place ,in fact I was down to my last £106 getting ready to finish, but now I am actually earning money. Regards Kevin ----------------------- Just wanted to say a huge thank you for your seminar on Friday. It was clear and very informative, its like a light has come on as I now get it (or I hope I do - only time will tell !!). So THANK YOU Safe journey home Sarah ------------------------- Hi Mark, I just wanted say how much I enjoyed both Friday and Saturday, not only the excellent seminars, but also catching up with yourself, John and everyone else. I found Friday very helpful as it filled in a lot of the gaps, so I'm looking forward to applying this to my trading. Best Regards Chris ------------------------ Hi Mark, It was great to finally meet you last week and I Just wanted to say a belated thank you for the semniar. It was a thoroughly enjoyable day and I have certainly never left any other event armed with so much information and I very much look forward to future seminars. Andy Happy Trading! Mark Austin

FTSE Trading Report - 17 August 2012

The FTSE held our important 5810 level again yesterday and we are back to where we were yesterday morning. We have expiry today so price action may come alive after this event (10.10am -10.20am) or we will see a large move on Monday morning. As its August there is the risk we have a quiet expiry.

FTSE Trading Report - 16 August 2012

No real change on yesterday's report as we remain in quiet range bound activity. However, we do have options expiry tomorrow which may break this dull period.  The tunnel strategy should therefore be considered tomorrow. If we have a quiet expiry then expect a large move to come in first thing on Monday morning.

FTSE Trading Report - 15 August 2012

August holidays still have their grip on the markets and we are seeing little action.  We are opening flat this morning if you take into account the dividend.

FTSE Trading Report - 14 August 2012

We saw a brief decline yesterday towards 5812 which was our daily target and 5810 (short term support) clearly held. The pattern suggests we will see a further move up towards 5900 whilst we trade above 5810. I then expect a move towards 5750.

FTSE Trading Report - 13 August 2012

Whilst the FTSE trades above 5810 higher prices towards 5900 can be expected however the market is making higher highs with little buyer participation (the buyers are running out).  A pull back is therefore likely. 

FTSE Trading Report - 10 August 2012

The FTSE has just been consolidating on its highs this week and we now have 5 higher highs in a row. Its unlikely we will see another strong weekly close with this price action. 

FTSE Trading Report - 9 August 2012

As the market is currently trading above 5845 the FTSE could extend towards 5900 in the very short term before we see some healthy profit taking come in down to 5750-5700. We are near a top.

FTSE Trading Report - 8 August 2012

Yesterday the FTSE closed on its highs for the day which may appear bullish but in actual fact it was all connected to the dividend rally in the last of hour trade which we discussed yesterday morning.  It should also be noted that markets tend to top out when they close on their highs (after a large rally) as everyone has become a buyer.

FTSE Trading Report - 7 August 2012

Today we have a big dividend on the FTSE standing at 25.4 points.  What this means is we will most likely see buying in the last hour for the index today, so 3.30pm - 4.30pm. It also means that tomorrow morning if we open above today's closing price at 4.30pm (what ever that may be) we will have an easy sell at the 8am open as these 25.4 points will need to be taken off the real market.

FTSE Trading Report - 6 August 2012

This morning the FTSE has key resistance at 5812 which was the market high on the 1st May 2012 and may give a negative reaction. A break through this level is bullish and will indicate the FTSE is on course to retest the 2012 highs as along as 2 x end of day closes below 5720 is avoided. 

FTSE Trading Report - 3 August 2012

No solid news came out of the FOMC meeting or the ECB meeting and we have seen another failure at new market highs.  There may not be any solid news after today until Sept/Nov which means the rest of August is vulnerable to investors taking profits on this recent rise we have been seeing since June. I would expect to see the market to drop back to 5550 in the next few weeks.

FTSE Trading Report - 2 August 2012

We have more key news today with the ECB meeting at 12.45 today.  This could be a market mover for the FTSE so keep an eye on this.   If the FTSE is trading near parity (5712) late morning the tunnel strategy can be considered, selling the lowest range at the highest price.

FTSE Trading Report - 1 August 2012

5705 was the top of our range before the FED meeting tonight and we have seen another reversal at 5700. This is again negative action. The bottom of the pre FED meeting range is 5590.  With the FED meeting tonight I would expect this range to break in the next 48 hours.

FTSE Trading Report - 31 July 2012

The FTSE rallied to my weekly upside range yesterday at 5705.  Whilst below here we should see some profit taking come in for the end of the month

FTSE Trading Report - 30 July 2012

Lots of important news out this week with the FED meeting on Wednesday and non farm payrolls on Friday.  The market is yet again buying the rumour of more stimulus so on Wednesday (FED meeting) we could well see some profit taking come in (buy the rumour sell the news scenario). 

FTSE Trading Report - 27 July 2012

I am looking at a failure in the 5600 region just after the 8am open. 

5600 is key resistance/support today.

We then have the US GDP news at lunchtime. 

FTSE Trading Report - 26 July 2012

The FTSE closed the day with a doji candlestick yesterday reflecting clear indecision. I usually avoid trading the next day when I see this. Its also a Thursday which is the hardest day to gain and edge on the FTSE.

We have US GDP tomorrow which may instigate a rally to the upside if this figure is weak (stimulus expectations again). 

FTSE Trading Report - 25 July 2012

Apple was a surprise last night and US markets plunged to new lows. However the first part of this decline looks to be over. We are now focusing on a rally towards 5600 before looking to go short again. That said we are only using systems to enter long positions. The trend is down so what we are not doing is picking bottoms.

FTSE Trading Report - 24 July 2012

The end of day close below 5600 is negative and indicates we have seen a double top at 5700 and we can now expect further selling over the next few months. However I would like to see a second end of day close below 5600 today to avoid the possibility of yesterday being a bear trap. Yes we do get them allot these days!

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FTSE Trading Report - 23 July 2012

Big gaps down this morning on the FTSE. If 5600 can hold then we should see some of the gap fill however we may not see all of the target reach today.

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FTSE Trading Report - 20 July 2012

Today is options expiry for the FTSE 100. This event occurs between 10.10am-10.20am. During this period of time expect market volatility which can produce sudden price spikes to the upside and downside.  The spikes can provide good trading opportunities to fade some of the move especially if the move is exaggerated (more than 20 points). 

The American markets have made a new high and given the end of day close above 5700 the FTSE will most likely make a new high above 5727 as well. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 19 July 2012

The FTSE fell away yesterday and was looking weak but American markets have pushed us up once again. In fact there was a 60 point rise into the close last night. Given this price action I expect some brief profit taking to come in just after the 8am open if 5700 does not hold. We could see a consolidation day ahead of expiry tomorrow.

 

 

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FTSE Trading Report - 18 July 2012

The market has been lacking any direction since the end of last week. If this continues until Friday expect a large move on this day (Friday) as its expiry. I would expect there to be lots of trading opportunities on this day if we remain quiet until then. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 17 July 2012

Please note we have Ben Bernanke talking this evening.  It could well be a case of buy the rumour and sell the facts again (in connection with stimulus).

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FTSE Trading Report - 16 July 2012

Today is the 16th of the month. The fund managers will be committing mid month monies today which could have a bullish influence.

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FTSE Trading Report - 13 July 2012

Yesterday the FTSE broke below 5610 which signals we have a top in place at 5727 for the pattern however the technicals are still short term bullish whilst we avoid closing the day below 5600.  5600 remains a very key level in this market at present. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 12 July 2012

Whilst the FTSE continues to trade above 5610 we can expect higher prices into the 5700 range and most likely a new high. What would drive such a move? We are in midst of 2nd quarter earnings season in America and investors often get over optimistic during this period.

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FTSE Trading Report - 11 July 2012

We still have a service target at #### (CLIENTS ONLY) which I want to re position for at some stage but whilst we continue to trade above 5600 we could see another move into the 5700 region.

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FTSE Trading Report - 10 July 2012

In terms of trading today we don't have much of an edge and I need the FTSE to break key levels before recommending a new service trade. There is also no dividend today.

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FTSE Trading Report - 9 July 2012

A pull back towards 5600-5540 is likely this week and the reaction at this level will indicate whether we have seen a major top at 5727. The short term price action is bearish given we saw a new high in this market last week and buyers did not participate. Investors want a pull back even if they look to buy again.

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FTSE Trading Report - 5 July 2012

5700 remains a key level for selling this market however after multiple retests at this area I would avoid opening further sell trades if we trade through this level (5700) and hold above once again. As long as the market stays below 5700 we should see profit taking towards #### (CLIENTS ONLY before the Non Farm Payrolls tomorrow. It should be noted that there is a raft of economic releases today which means we will have a news driven day. I am not keen on news driven days as systems and analysis are compromised. I will be more forthcoming with trades on Monday once we get all the news releases out the way. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 4 July 2012

5640 held yesterday and we duly saw the rally towards 5700-5720 we were expecting. The FTSE will now struggle to make progress above 5720 until we see a decent pull back towards 5550. Can the FTSE rise higher than 5720? It all depends on the Non Farm Payrolls report on Friday. I won't be trading on this day (except for maybe a quick gap play in the morning session) as the reaction to the report will dictate how we trade the FTSE next week.

Today the US markets are closed so the FTSE could consolidate this afternoon.

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FTSE Trading Report - 3 July 2012

With a close above 5625 yesterday we can expect higher prices towards 5720 in the short term. We have major resistance at 5700 - 5720 and I would expect profit taking to come in from this area.  The US markets will be closed tomorrow so there may be some profit taking ahead of the holiday which will drag the FTSE down this afternoon. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 02 July 2012

A retest towards 5500 this week is on the cards and we also have a weekly target at 5537. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 29 June 2012

Good news from the EU summit sees the FTSE trading near to 5600 which is a scenario we discussed yesterday. If the FTSE holds above 5600 for more than an hour this morning then we could see the market push as high as 5700 over coming sessions. However only an end of day close above 5720 will compromise the overall bearish trend we are in.

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FTSE Trading Report - 28 June 2012

We have the EU summit starting today so if there is any good news that comes out of this we could be back at 5600 again. If investors do not like the news then the market will sell off from current levels.  The line in the sand for this bearish trend is 5720. Unless we see prices trade above here the trend is firmly down.

This morning I want to target the magnet at #### (CLIENTS ONLY) but we are trading too close at present.

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FTSE Trading Report - 27 June 2012

I am still expecting a rise towards 5560 at some point this week. I will then look to re position short for 5350.

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FTSE Trading Report - 25 June 2012

A close below 5555 on Friday was bearish and indicates further selling towards 5360 however we also have a target at #### (CLIENTS ONLY) this week which will draw the market in.  For this reason I will use the 5 minute bar system today.

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FTSE Trading Report - 22 June 2012

In terms of the buy at the open this is risky so we can risk a few points on this if we hit #### CLIENTS ONLY just after the the open but keep your stop to a few points. I expect the magnet to hit early on and its clear we want to be positioning short in any case.

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