FTSE Trading Report - 30 April 2012

We closed above a key resistance area on Friday standing at 5770 which on the immediate surface is bullish however we have had 4 higher closes in a row now and its the last day of a trading month. These factors indicate traders who have been long may use a gap above #### (CLIENTS ONLY) this morning/later today as a reason to lock in some profits.

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FTSE Trading Report - 27 April 2012

No real change to my analysis from yesterday. The US dragged the FTSE up in the afternoon session but we have seen a quick retreat once again.  I am avoiding any long positions whilst the FTSE trades below 5770.  If we see a strong break at this level I will have to re-evaluate. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 26 April 2012

We saw a penetration through 5720 yesterday but the FTSE failed to close above this level.  As the institutional market largely dominate the market towards the end of the day this is a sign that bullish sentiment is not following through.  At this stage the FTSE would need to move above #### (CLIENTS ONLY) for this market to regain sustained positive momentum. For this reason I do not feel it appropriate to position long.

Today the FTSE should reach its closing level #### (CLIENTS ONLY) as long as we do not open above 5742.

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FTSE Trading Report - 25 April 2012

A very key open today for the FTSE.  If prices hold above 5720 then this is short term bullish and the previous magnet target at #### (CLIENTS ONLY) comes into play again.  

We do have near term magnet today.  In order for this trade to work the FTSE must fall immediately at the open (8am).

Don't forget we have the FOMC meeting tonight if you trade the US markets.

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FTSE Trading Report - 24 April 2012

Following on from yesterday we are looking at positioning short again however we have a large dividend on the FTSE today standing at 7.6 so we could well see higher prices into the 5700 region.

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FTSE Trading Report - 23 April 2012

On Friday we discussed the possibility of 5792 being a top in this market following negative price action just under 5800 (on Thursday). As Friday was a quiet session I would expect the first hour of trade today, to provide a good indication of whether this is the case. Key moves often come in on a Monday morning if the Friday expiry was quiet and set the tone for the rest of the week.

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FTSE Trading Report - 20 April 2012

We have options expiry today so expect volatility around 10:10am - 10:20am.  Right now my medium term forecast is neutral and I plan to activate this on Monday. We have a FTSE magnet and in terms of trading today tunnels can be looked at as it's expiry.

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FTSE Trading Report 19 April 2012

Yesterday was a consolidation day and we drifted around major major resistance at 5766 which is typical for this type of day.  5766 remains a key level in this market and it may serve more relevance today.  If the FTSE can hold above this level early on then I expect to see higher prices towards 5800-5830.

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FTSE Trading Report - 18 April 2012

We have had 2 strong trending UP days so today is likely to be a consolidation day.  We have strong resistance at 5766 which opens up good sales opportunities today however a decisive break (to the upside) of this area will be a positive sign and strengthen the case for a slow drift up to 5830. There is a FTSE magnet today and this is available to clients only.

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FTSE Trading Report - 17 April 2012

The open will give a good indication of where the day is headed. We have a FTSE magnet today and this is available to clients only.

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FTSE Trading Report 13 April 2012

The FTSE held 5600 yesterday and we have rallied. Higher prices are still expected however if the FTSE falls 10 points from its opening price at 8am and then cannot recover above 5700 again then this is a negative sign and this counter rally could be over. Likewise if the FTSE can hold 5700 during the first hour of trade then higher prices are expected.

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FTSE Trading Report - 12 April 2012

Ideally we want to focus on selling the rallies and apply low risk set ups for any long positions above 5600. Below 5600 there is no support until 5375 so traders need to be very cautious placing any buy trades under here.

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FTSE Trading Report - 11 April 2012

In terms of analysis the FTSE is nearing an over sold position in a market where the trend is now firmly down.

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FTSE Trading Report - 10 April 2012

If the FTSE opens below 5663 this morning then we could see further selling towards 5600 early on. If the market avoids opening below this level and instead recovers above 5686 (and avoids trading below here once again) then 5830 is the preferred target before we see further selling in this market.

The dividend is 1.3 today.

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FTSE Trading Report - 5 April 2012

A break down through 5760 yesterday and a close below this level indicates a move towards 5600 for the FTSE. We are in a third wave down. Once this completes near to 5600 we will target #### (CLIENTS ONLY) which is a magnet target.

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FTSE Trading Report - 4 April 2012

2 opposite trending days for the FTSE and both ending on their respective highs and lows for the closing bell. If would be unusual for Wednesday to be a trending day following this activity so we could well consolidate today if the FTSE holds above 5800.

The FTSE likes to reach its closing gap on consolidation days so if we open above #### (CLIENTS ONLY) I would expect this level to be reached today.

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FTSE Trading Report - 3 April 2012

The short term trend remains down for the FTSE however as mentioned yesterday the 1st trading day of a new month and also tax saving schemes would most likely have a short term bullish influence on the index.  For this reason the medium term forecast was neutral.  This bullish effect could also spill over today so I remain neutral for this component of the service for another day. Easier set ups will most likely present themselves from tomorrow onwards.

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FTSE Trading Report - 2 April 2012

The short term trend for the FTSE remains down for now and we have a possible top at 5989.  Only price action back above 5900 would rule this out. You will have noticed that price action above 5900 has been rejected multiple times over the last few months. This is minus development and a clear negative for the index.

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