Secrets of day Trading Methods

Friday, December 30, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 30 December 2011

Well its the last trading day of the year and the fund managers finally got their end of year rally.    Going into next year we will be focusing on short opportunities from above 5600. However, the first day of a trading year is generally bullish so we could see a final rally above 5600 early next week.

The market closes at 12.30pm today.

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Thursday, December 29, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 29 December 2011

Today we have the magnet so we could see some initial selling at the open and then buying coming in later on. 5470 is still a target in my radar and if the market trades to this level early on this would be a good buying opportunity.   Price action below 5470 is a short term negative so if we do see the market hit 5470 I would expect the FTSE to bounce higher straight away.  If we see price action break below 5465 this is short term negative and will delay any move towards 5600.

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Wednesday, December 28, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 28 December 2011

We are now in the final few days of 2011 and given the holidays its unlikely we will see too much action however be aware that large moves can still develop on low volume although any moves are generally steady and creep lower or higher. 

My analysis remains the same and we are still calling for a slow move up towards 5600.  Once we get to 5600 I will be looking at opening short positions.  I don't expect fireworks at the beginning of 2012 and with uncertainty still high we could well see the market trade between 5200-5650 for the first 3 months.


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Friday, December 23, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 23 December 2011

The FTSE remains on track to target 5600 before year end.  We held 5420 at the open yesterday which I mentioned was a positive signal which would result in the previous highs at 5485 being taken out. We have this this out of hours and I would expect to see this during cash hours today.  I count this as wave 3 up which is the most powerful wave up.

We also have to be aware that is a Friday before a long holiday weekend so we could see some profit taking come in after 2pm today.


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Thursday, December 22, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 22 December 2011

My outlook remains the same as yesterday and with the anticipated decline yesterday we can now expect a slow drift up until after Christmas.  However we have a key range which has developed on the FTSE between 5370 and 5420 and a decisive break of either of these levels will dictate the short term trend. So I basically want to see the FTSE break above 5420 and close above here today in order to confirm we are indeed going to see higher prices going forward.


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Wednesday, December 21, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 21 December 2011

5330 did indeed prove to be the low yesterday and the end of the correction.  We can now expect higher prices over the next week although we may see a brief retracement today. We also saw a positive outside day yesterday which is when the market makes a new low and closes above the high of the previous trading day. Another signal that this market has turned.

In terms of trading today if you are long stay long.  For shorter term traders we may well see a quick reaction back to 5410 -5400 today.  I would then expect higher prices leading into Christmas.


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Tuesday, December 20, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 20 December 2011

Lots of sideways action going on at present. We are still looking for the FTSE to bottom out very shortly in this long winded correctional move. This could come in today. Tuesday's are generally bullish days.

Today we have the magnet and we also have key resistance at 5370.  A failure to climb above this level (5370) and FTSE risks falling towards 5300.  I don't expect much more downside below here (5300).  Likewise a decent break above 5370 is a positive signal for the FTSE.

MAGNET - We are too close to this level right now so I would look to target the magnet if we climb towards 5370 and fail to go above.  Stops 3-4 points above 5370. I can't automate this trade for you today and its really a case of watching any reactions at 5370 early on.

The other trade idea is to buy the FTSE binary to finish up for the day at or near to 5300 if the closing gap is not reached first. I may well send an SMS on this.

So in summary we don't have a trades off the open today and it will be a case of watching reactions at 5370 and 5300. 

MEDIUM TERM FORECAST - A rally towards 5600 whilst we avoid 2 x end of day closes


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Monday, December 19, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 19 December 2011

A weak Asian session has left FTSE futures opening lower this morning and very near 5344.  This is the area where a large rally developed at the end of November.  As mentioned before, markets like to retest key areas.  The market is still trading sideways and I will only change my view on the overall direction of the market (I favour higher prices towards year end) if we see 2 x closes (FTSE closing price at 4.30pm) under neath 5344. At present the chart patterns do not support lower prices. The action is corrective which indicates this is a pause before we go higher.

The markets will also soon be entering a low volume period with traders going on holiday so you could see institutions push the market up on low volume towards year end. After all they want their bonuses.    Only fresh negative news out of Europe will block this scenario. France losing its AAA rating is likely but this won't come as a shock to the market at this stage.


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Friday, December 16, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 16 December 2011

We have expiry today so between 10.10 - 10.25 am expect volatility.


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Thursday, December 15, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 15 December 2011

5360 is a key level today. A break below here today will be short term negative however this move down is messy and very correctional so the decline is over now or it will complete very shortly.  Its not in the fund managers/ institutional interests to let this fall too far before the year end. Many are counting on the ''Christmas rally''.  As mentioned earlier this week, I feel we had the Christmas rally at the end of November however we may see some upside when all the retail clients give up on '' The Christmas Rally'' phenomenon.

We have some long exposure in the Weekly binary. I am not holding any spread bets and I will only enter these on very low risk set ups (like this morning).


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Wednesday, December 14, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 14 December 2011

No real change from yesterday's analysis. The FTSE remains short term positive whilst we avoid an end of day close below 5344. However the key level I mentioned yesterday at 5420 will now become even more important. You will notice we have bounced off this level several times over the last 24 hours so if we do penetrate this level again then I would expect to see lower prices towards 5380 quickly.


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AN ALTERNATIVE LOOK INTO THE INVESTMENT WORLD


 
Mark Austin Trading


Investment worldAn Alternative look into the investment world


Mark Austin Trading

UK's Premier Online FTSE Subscription

 

Dear Trader,

Yesterday I received the latest article from 'View From The Bridge''. The publication is written by a fellow trader and I always enjoy reading his alternative take on important economic events. If you would also like to benefit from these publications please click on the below link and sign up. Its all free and previous articles can also be read.

www.viewfromthebridge.co.uk

Latest Article from View From A Bridge

RULE BRITANNIA

If you have never heard the rendition of this anthem of anthems (up there with "Jerusalem") at the Last Night of the Proms you will not understand the British psyche and the glue that binds this nation together. We have been branded the pariah of Europe for rejecting the treaty amendments, proposed by Germany and reluctantly seconded by France, which, in the great scheme of things, will achieve the square root of very little.

Alexander Graf Lambsdorff, head of Germany's FDP group, part of the European Liberals, says it was "a mistake to let the British into the EU". Over here some of us would lay the blame for accession at Edward Heath's door... "Britain must now renegotiate its relationship with the EU," he said. "Either they do it on their own initiative, or the EU refounds (sic) itself - without Great Britain. Switzerland is a model towards which Britain can turn itself." Bring it on!

Meanwhile Daniel Cohen-Bendit, joint leader of the Greens in the European Parliament has labelled Mr Cameron "a weakling". That's up there with being savaged by a lamb Geoffrey Howe style, although Danny la Vert is in all probability a vegetarian...

Surprisingly it was the French newspaper Le Monde, seemingly keen to avoid further damaging relations between the French and English, which spoke to its readers of all the things they love about the UK, which, it said, are "impossible to number"; but they gave it their best shot. "From the concept of habeas corpus to the BBC, to Elizabethan poetry to John Le Carre, from rock to the invention of the Sixties, from London springtime concerts to Wimbledon, via Liverpool FC." And all that from a French newspaper! Well one thing is for sure; we will "never walk alone"!

That this meeting of small minds has been hailed as a triumph - German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that the European Union summit achieved a "breakthrough" to a "lastingly stable euro" - leaves me lost for words, but not expletives, although I will spare your blushes dear reader.

She would like you to believe, as obviously she does and presumably along with the 25 other governments that can find no other place to hide, that by March the "fiscal compact" will be in place. This includes a cap of 0.5% of GDP on countries' annual structural deficits and "automatic consequences" for countries whose public deficit exceeds 3% of GDP. As of now, including Germany, not one EU country matches up to these targets and it's all going to get resolved in three months?

The markets, expecting something approaching a frisson of decisiveness, spent Friday like stunned mullets. And with Christmas rapidly approaching may well take to the mulled wine and other festive "remedies" and call it a day until the New Year. At which time they will all realise that nothing, absolutely nothing has been done to address the solvency of the European banking system.

Which anthem will they play at the Last Night of the Euro I wonder? How about the Doobie Brothers and "What a fool believes"?

"But what a fool believes ... (s)he sees" - a lastingly stable euro?

Mark Austin
mark@markaustintrading.com
www.markaustintrading.com

 

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Mark Austin Trading is now established as one of the UK's premium FTSE trading services and here's what one of our members has to say-

"Not a bad day all in all after a difficult start - bagged two binaries one in the morning and then one in the afternoon session - and made a good profit with the opportunities that developed - I must say that the learning curve of information you e-mail to me as a subscriber is invaluable and I look at and study each message and compare it with the chart on my monitor - and watch it develop into something that seems quite amazing to me as everything unfolds on the monitor as you suggested - and through the course of the day I watch and listen to your 'you tube' lessons and take in as much as I can - I'm not saying I remember it all - the knowledge that you give we the subscribers is fantastic and is much appreciated."
Steve

 
Mark's FTSE trading service is designed for educational purposes only. There is a risk of loss in all trading. Spread Betting carries significant risk and should only be undertaken by those who can afford to lose some or all of their investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Before investing, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment please seek independent financial advice. Mark's FTSE trading service is authorised under an arrangement with t1ps.com Ltd, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and can be contacted at 3rd Floor, 3 London Wall Buildings, London EC2M 5SY.

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 13 December 2011

If we are to see higher prices in the short term then I would not expect to see activity below 5344. 5344 is the level the FTSE broke out of (to the north) on the back of the central banking news on the 30th November.  The move through this level turned the FTSE short term positive.  I'm not expecting big upside from current levels and in my opinion we have already had the Christmas rally (its lasted 1 day (30th Nov)) but we could well see the index drift back towards 5600.  


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Monday, December 12, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 12 December 2011

Well we've had the news and its a step in the direction but its done little to regain certainty over the future of the EURO. Sentiment remains weak in this market.  Its for this reason that we may see short term higher prices as the market is too bearish.  We are unlikely to see a major sell off in the near terms as everyone has already sold. Instead I expect the market to trade in a range between 5100-5750 for the next 3-4 months.  We need to see more direction over Europe's future before any meaningful new trend comes into play.


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Friday, December 9, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 09 December 2011

As per yesterday's report the main focus will be on the EU summit today. The market will be largely event driven which means trading this market today will be difficult, largely because any piece of news that comes out of the meeting will cause wild unpredictable swings. 

The EU must deliver certainty to the market by the close of this meeting or I expect the market to again struggle to make any head way over 5640 for the next 2-3 months.  At present any comments from the Summit are not providing certainty. 


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Thursday, December 8, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 08 December 2011

I have attached a screen shot of the daily ''cash'' chart for the FTSE 100 showing yesterday's action being clearly indecisive leading up to the European meeting tomorrow.  This is not too surprising given the importance of this meeting and the impact it will have on the markets going into 2012.  The future of the EURO is hanging on the outcome of this meeting.

This week we have been focusing on 5600 and we discussed that the market would find it tough to make progress above here before the news.  This has clearly been the case but what we haven't seen is a continued decline towards 5370 which would fit well for the wave count.  At this stage the most likely outcome is the correction we were expecting, ended yesterday at 5500 and we are now going to see higher prices towards 5700 as investors buy ahead of a meeting, which they expect to deliver a clear resolution to the European debt crisis. Personally as a trader I am not comfortable buying here even though higher prices are likely. We are still in a bear market and we are currently over bought.


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Wednesday, December 7, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 07 December 2011

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS - I will be looking to see whether the FTSE can hold 5600.  If the market can stay above 5600 for a full ten minutes after the open this is bullish and will neutralise the chance of a decline to 5370 this week. If seen I will remain on the sidelines until the European news has been released on Friday. Once things settle and emotions have calmed down we can access the next direction.  You will remember in my recent tips that major news releases cause the majority of bull and bear traps in markets for traders. 


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Tuesday, December 6, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 06 December 2011

No real change to my analysis from yesterday. The FTSE is struggling to make progress over 5600 and there was clear minus development at this level yesterday afternoon. Minus development means the market has failed to make progress over this level.  I maintain my view that the FTSE will struggle to make progress over this level before Friday when the EU meets for the summit talks. Even then the rally over the last month will have priced in a fair bit of any positive news resulting from this meeting. 


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Monday, December 5, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 05 December 2011


I expect to see a short term decline this week towards 5400 - 5370. It will be in this zone that a good buying opportunity may present itself until year end. Target 5700.  Markets like to retest important areas and 5347 was the level that the market turned short term bullish.

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Friday, December 2, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 2 December 2011

The gap is my focus early on.  We are going to be opening very close to the risk area so traders will need to focus on whether the market can trade above here once we open.  If we do open and hold this level then pass on the early gap trade and I'll be looking for a cheap one touch later on.


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Thursday, December 1, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 01 December 2011

Global central banks yesterday revealed plans to improve liquidity.  These new measures will provide some relief to the European crisis but its by no means a solution. As with all these liquidity efforts the public are led to believe the measures are aimed at helping the supply of credit to households and businesses but in reality most of the liquidity will end up in the stock market. In effect another short term fix to prevent stock markets sliding further.  So in the short term the FTSE will go higher and the trend has turned up.


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Wednesday, November 30, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 30 November 2011

Yesterday we discussed a key area at 5347 and requirement for the FTSE to fail between 5347 and 5360. At this stage we have seen a reaction back below and it remains the case that whilst we trade below this level, selling is preferable.  If the market does trade above 5347 at this stage then I will have to change my view. 

Today we do have a magnet but we look set to open below a risk area at 5297.  If the market cannot make progress above this level shortly after the open then further selling is indicated.


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Tuesday, November 29, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 29 November 2011

A decent rally yesterday has the FTSE approaching its MA 20 and MA 50 which are located near 5360 on the daily chart.  We discussed this is an area where the FTSE would want to pull back to after over sold conditions. After large sell offs and rallies, markets like to trade back to these regions. 5360 is also a previous area of resistance/support which we have used in previous months. So we have confluence around this region.  For now whilst the FTSE trades below this level the index is bearish and target lower prices. If we trade above here then the index will turn short term bullish.

As its dividend Tuesday we may have a strong open and there is a previous gap which the index will be attracted to. 


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SURVIVING DAY TRADING

SURVIVING DAY TRADING* TIP 11 from MarkAustinTrading.com

Dear Mark,

I have recently been approached by Harriman House, a well known publisher, to contribute to a new book covering the 10 essential rules of investing. The book will focus on various specialised fields within this industry. My chosen subject will be ''day trading''. The book is due to be released, in early 2012 and at this stage I would like to share with you my top 10 essential rules for day trading.

SURVIVING DAY TRADING - TRADING TIP NO.11

10 insights from a professional trader on how to profit and make a living out of day trading.

Survival Guide

1. PREPARATION IS KEY

Do all your preparation before the market opens and avoid unplanned trades. They will not lead to success in the long run. Discipline is vital in this profession. You can't control the market but you can control yourself. The worst event that can occur to a new trader is winning from an unplanned trade. The reason being that he/she will be more likely to hang onto a bad trade in the future in the hope that this trade will also turn into a winner. We all know where this leads and it's usually to an account with a balance of zero. The after effects also give way to all kinds of psychological problems such as fear and lack of confidence, so traders avoid at your peril!

2. THE GAP

Understand that trading the gap is the most reliable day trading strategy there is. This is the bread and butter trade for most professional traders.

3. YOUR MARKET HAS ITS OWN PERSONALITY

Know your market's personality and its internal dynamics. There is more to trading than just indicators
and bar charts. Each market will have unique behavioral patterns, which can be exploited over and over again.

4. TURN YOUR ATTENTION TO THE MARKET AND NOT YOU P&L ACCOUNT

When trading, focus on your chart price and not your profit and loss account. If you have done your preparation there should be no need to focus on what profit or loss has been made whilst the trade is active. Your stop is a pre-determined level of risk so let it do its job and your exit target is not based on how much profit the trade is currently earning you. Applying this concept will reduce common emotional problems such as cutting profits too early and allowing a loss to run.

5. QUALITY NOT QUANTITY

Being a day trader doesn't mean you have to place multiple trades every day. It's a common misconception that large quantities of trades have to be placed in order to succeed in day trading. Over trading is just a byproduct of greed and impatience. If there is no set up for the day, which meets your criteria, take the day off. A day trader only needs 2-3 good trades a week to make a healthy living out of this profession.

6. 1ST OF THE MONTH - NOT A DAY TO BE A BEAR

Avoid selling stock indices on the 1st of the month. These days have a bias to the upside and large funds often commit new cash monies on these days.

7. PERSERVERNACE - FORTUNES DO NOT COME TO THOSE WHO GIVE UP

If you are placing a trade from a strategic position with a tight stop accept that it may take a few attempts to successfully climb on board a winning trade. Taking a few small loses should not be an issue in day trading and in the long term strengthens your mind and protects your capital from further loses.

8. SIMPLE

Simple is better. Your core system/strategy should be as simple as possible. In my experience the more complicated a system , the less chance of success. This will allow you to apply some discretion to your trading -so you can adapt to changing market conditions.

9. NEWS

Large news events often produce the worst bull and bear traps in the market. Recognise major news releases but accept it's impossible to predict how the market will react to the news.

10. LARGE EGOS HAVE NO PLACE IN TRADING

Avoid looking for that one big move. Too many traders obsess with trying to catch that one big move and the majority fail miserably. Largely this is down to ego. In reality the markets trend only 20% of the time and for 80% of the time they are range bound. Develop strategies that can profit from these conditions. Overtime, consistent profits will stack up.

All the best,

Mark

My website is www.markaustintrading.com

Mark Austin Trading is now established as one of the UK's premium FTSE trading services and here's here's what one of our members has to say-

"Not a bad day all in all after a difficult start - bagged two binaries one in the morning and then one in the afternoon session - and made a good profit with the opportunities that developed - I must say that the learning curve of information you e-mail to me as a subscriber is invaluable and I look at and study each message and compare it with the chart on my monitor - and watch it develop into something that seems quite amazing to me as everything unfolds on the monitor as you suggested - and through the course of the day I watch and listen to your 'you tube' lessons and take in as much as I can - I'm not saying I remember it all - the knowledge that you give we the subscribers is fantastic and is much appreciated."
Steve

Monday, November 28, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 28 November 2011

We discussed short covering on our Friday report and we saw this come into play in the afternoon session. We now have a big gap up.  The market is recovering a from a over sold position and will be attracted towards its 20 and 50 moving averages on the daily charts (5350).


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Friday, November 25, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 25 November 2011

Its a Friday and its the day after Thanksgiving in the US. Markets can behave irrationally after holiday periods so bare this in mind if you are trading today.  Traditionally the day after thanksgiving is bullish for world markets (also the week after) and we are well overdue an up day but that doesn't mean the markets have to rise immediately. The markets are always right and its important as traders that we never marry into an opinion when analysing the markets and ignore stops. The trend is firmly down so we have to respect that buying this market is still very risky even though the probabilities of a rebound are increasing.


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Thursday, November 24, 2011

FTSE Trading Report - 24 November 2011

The US markets are shut today for Thanksgiving so expect a quiet session for the FTSE this afternoon.  Most traders write off such days however just like the Christmas period if there is a range which develops the price action is usually smooth (with volatility removed) making trading easier.

The trend is firmly down and ideally we would like to sell however we will have to be patient. Now is not the time to sell. The market could well fall further but we have to focus on the probabilities and facts.  The odds of a bounce higher have increased.  

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