FTSE Trading Report - 31 July 2012

The FTSE rallied to my weekly upside range yesterday at 5705.  Whilst below here we should see some profit taking come in for the end of the month

FTSE Trading Report - 30 July 2012

Lots of important news out this week with the FED meeting on Wednesday and non farm payrolls on Friday.  The market is yet again buying the rumour of more stimulus so on Wednesday (FED meeting) we could well see some profit taking come in (buy the rumour sell the news scenario). 

FTSE Trading Report - 27 July 2012

I am looking at a failure in the 5600 region just after the 8am open. 

5600 is key resistance/support today.

We then have the US GDP news at lunchtime. 

FTSE Trading Report - 26 July 2012

The FTSE closed the day with a doji candlestick yesterday reflecting clear indecision. I usually avoid trading the next day when I see this. Its also a Thursday which is the hardest day to gain and edge on the FTSE.

We have US GDP tomorrow which may instigate a rally to the upside if this figure is weak (stimulus expectations again). 

FTSE Trading Report - 25 July 2012

Apple was a surprise last night and US markets plunged to new lows. However the first part of this decline looks to be over. We are now focusing on a rally towards 5600 before looking to go short again. That said we are only using systems to enter long positions. The trend is down so what we are not doing is picking bottoms.

FTSE Trading Report - 24 July 2012

The end of day close below 5600 is negative and indicates we have seen a double top at 5700 and we can now expect further selling over the next few months. However I would like to see a second end of day close below 5600 today to avoid the possibility of yesterday being a bear trap. Yes we do get them allot these days!

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FTSE Trading Report - 23 July 2012

Big gaps down this morning on the FTSE. If 5600 can hold then we should see some of the gap fill however we may not see all of the target reach today.

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FTSE Trading Report - 20 July 2012

Today is options expiry for the FTSE 100. This event occurs between 10.10am-10.20am. During this period of time expect market volatility which can produce sudden price spikes to the upside and downside.  The spikes can provide good trading opportunities to fade some of the move especially if the move is exaggerated (more than 20 points). 

The American markets have made a new high and given the end of day close above 5700 the FTSE will most likely make a new high above 5727 as well. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 19 July 2012

The FTSE fell away yesterday and was looking weak but American markets have pushed us up once again. In fact there was a 60 point rise into the close last night. Given this price action I expect some brief profit taking to come in just after the 8am open if 5700 does not hold. We could see a consolidation day ahead of expiry tomorrow.

 

 

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FTSE Trading Report - 18 July 2012

The market has been lacking any direction since the end of last week. If this continues until Friday expect a large move on this day (Friday) as its expiry. I would expect there to be lots of trading opportunities on this day if we remain quiet until then. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 17 July 2012

Please note we have Ben Bernanke talking this evening.  It could well be a case of buy the rumour and sell the facts again (in connection with stimulus).

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FTSE Trading Report - 16 July 2012

Today is the 16th of the month. The fund managers will be committing mid month monies today which could have a bullish influence.

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FTSE Trading Report - 13 July 2012

Yesterday the FTSE broke below 5610 which signals we have a top in place at 5727 for the pattern however the technicals are still short term bullish whilst we avoid closing the day below 5600.  5600 remains a very key level in this market at present. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 12 July 2012

Whilst the FTSE continues to trade above 5610 we can expect higher prices into the 5700 range and most likely a new high. What would drive such a move? We are in midst of 2nd quarter earnings season in America and investors often get over optimistic during this period.

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FTSE Trading Report - 11 July 2012

We still have a service target at #### (CLIENTS ONLY) which I want to re position for at some stage but whilst we continue to trade above 5600 we could see another move into the 5700 region.

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FTSE Trading Report - 10 July 2012

In terms of trading today we don't have much of an edge and I need the FTSE to break key levels before recommending a new service trade. There is also no dividend today.

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FTSE Trading Report - 9 July 2012

A pull back towards 5600-5540 is likely this week and the reaction at this level will indicate whether we have seen a major top at 5727. The short term price action is bearish given we saw a new high in this market last week and buyers did not participate. Investors want a pull back even if they look to buy again.

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FTSE Trading Report - 5 July 2012

5700 remains a key level for selling this market however after multiple retests at this area I would avoid opening further sell trades if we trade through this level (5700) and hold above once again. As long as the market stays below 5700 we should see profit taking towards #### (CLIENTS ONLY before the Non Farm Payrolls tomorrow. It should be noted that there is a raft of economic releases today which means we will have a news driven day. I am not keen on news driven days as systems and analysis are compromised. I will be more forthcoming with trades on Monday once we get all the news releases out the way. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 4 July 2012

5640 held yesterday and we duly saw the rally towards 5700-5720 we were expecting. The FTSE will now struggle to make progress above 5720 until we see a decent pull back towards 5550. Can the FTSE rise higher than 5720? It all depends on the Non Farm Payrolls report on Friday. I won't be trading on this day (except for maybe a quick gap play in the morning session) as the reaction to the report will dictate how we trade the FTSE next week.

Today the US markets are closed so the FTSE could consolidate this afternoon.

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FTSE Trading Report - 3 July 2012

With a close above 5625 yesterday we can expect higher prices towards 5720 in the short term. We have major resistance at 5700 - 5720 and I would expect profit taking to come in from this area.  The US markets will be closed tomorrow so there may be some profit taking ahead of the holiday which will drag the FTSE down this afternoon. 

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FTSE Trading Report - 02 July 2012

A retest towards 5500 this week is on the cards and we also have a weekly target at 5537. 

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